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950Vendredi 8 octobre, Antiwar.com signalait ce texte du 28 septembre 2010 de Foreign Policy, de Thomas Ruttig, de Afghanistan Analysts Networks (AAN), qui l’avait lui-même mis en ligne sur son site le 27 septembre 2010. Le texte est intitulé “l’Empire est en train de devenir fou” et il décrit l’incohérence de la situation en Afghanistan, autant, – et encore plus, selon notre point de vue, – qu’aux Etats-Unis même.
Le fait même que ce texte ait été repris sur Foreign Policy est en soi une indication intéressante. La qualité du texte n’est certainement pas ici la référence qui importe, – outre le fait que cette qualité est indiscutable, – mais bien la peinture qu’il fait du monde officiel US des “experts” face au conflit. Tout est dit lorsque l’auteur, pour débuter, évoque le fameux Docteur Folamour du film de Kubrick.
«The current U.S. clue- and helplessness in Afghanistan, with its strategy that no one knows whether it will work and with no Plan B, is definitely crying out for some “out of the box” thinking. But the ideas which have started to appear on various websites reminds one of the mad Dr. Strangelove, who learned “how to stop worrying and love the bomb” in Stanley Kubrick's 1964 movie. Most frightening is that some of these ideas and plans do not spring from the minds of fringe commentators but from the heart of the U.S. establishment. But for remote-view “experts” and newcomers in the field alike the advice would be: some closer-up knowledge about the country would help.
»The most prominent plan of this kind is without doubt the “de facto partition of Afghanistan.” It comes from George W. Bush's former deputy national security adviser Robert D. Blackwill. His brainchild adds up to a hand-over of Afghanistan's “northern and western regions” to a federation of non-Pashtun warlord-led militias (something like a neo-Northern Alliance), propped up by “40,000 to 50,000 [US] troops.” The predominantly Pashtun rest, i.e. the South and the East, would not be left alone but turned into a virtual free-fire zone:
»“[T]he sky over Pashtun Afghanistan would be dark with manned and unmanned coalition aircraft - targeting not only terrorists but, as necessary, the new Taliban government in all its dimensions. Taliban civil officials – like governors, mayors, judges and tax collectors – would wake up every morning not knowing if they would survive the day in their offices, while involved in daily activities or at home at night”.
»And if this drone strategy doesn't work (as it apparently doesn't in Pakistan), we still have Associate Professor Cora Sol Goldstein from California State University, another advocate of partition. She has already gone a step further, regretting that “the national and international political context makes it impossible for the U.S. to fight a total war [sic!] in Afghanistan and Pakistan” and that the “use of nuclear weapons” in the AfPak region is “not yet justified.”
»Not yet.
»Does she seriously suggest nuking Kandahar? Or Quetta or Karachi?
»(Read her full paper […] here but have some stiff drink at hand. To Nuclear Cora, we would like to recommend reading Masuji Ibuse's Black Rain or the opening chapter of Kamila Shamsie's Burnt Shadows so that, in the meanwhile, she understands what she is talking about – so that she stops confusing D-Day in World War II with Hiroshima and Nagasaki.)»
(Les deux travaux mentionnés dans cette citation sont accessibles aux liens référencés sur les deux noms des auteurs : Blackwill et Goldstein.)
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