Kim leur est décidément plus sympathique que GW, c’est une affaire entendue

Le sondage dont le Guardian publie aujourd’hui les extraits constitue un choc certainement impressionnant. Trouver chez les Britanniques, les Canadiens, les Israéliens et les Mexicains des majorités parfois fortes qui condamnent la dangerosité de la politique US ou estiment GW Bush plus dangereux que le Nord-Coréen Kim ou l’Iranien Ahmadinejad (seul le mythique Ben Laden est plus craint que GW Bush), — tout cela représente un phénomène vraiment d’une très grande force. (Les pays choisis ont une très grande force politique et psychologique pour les USA : les deux plus proches alliés et les deux voisins des USA.)

Même si Israël reste le moins radicalisé des quatre pays, on n’en découvre pas moins avec surprise qu’une majorité d’Israéliens pensent que les Etats-Unis ont rendu, depuis le 11 septembre 2001, le monde bien plus dangereux qu’il n’était.

Voici les principaux résultats du sondage ICM présenté par le Guardian (en même temps qu’il est présenté par les journaux impliqués dans la même enquête, dans les trois autres pays).

«The survey has been carried out by the Guardian in Britain and leading newspapers in Israel (Haaretz), Canada (La Presse and Toronto Star) and Mexico (Reforma), using professional local opinion polling in each country.

»It exposes high levels of distrust. In Britain, 69% of those questioned say they believe US policy has made the world less safe since 2001, with only 7% thinking action in Iraq and Afghanistan has increased global security.

»The finding is mirrored in America's immediate northern and southern neighbours, Canada and Mexico, with 62% of Canadians and 57% of Mexicans saying the world has become more dangerous because of US policy.

»Even in Israel, which has long looked to America to guarantee national security, support for the US has slipped.

»Only one in four Israeli voters say that Mr Bush has made the world safer, outweighed by the number who think he has added to the risk of international conflict, 36% to 25%. A further 30% say that at best he has made no difference.

»Voters in three of the four countries surveyed also overwhelmingly reject the decision to invade Iraq, with only Israeli voters in favour, 59% to 34% against. Opinion against the war has hardened strongly since a similar survey before the US presidential election in 2004.

»In Britain 71% of voters now say the invasion was unjustified, a view shared by 89% of Mexicans and 73% of Canadians. Canada is a Nato member whose troops are in action in Afghanistan. Neither do voters think America has helped advance democracy in developing countries, one of the justifications for deposing Saddam Hussein. Only 11% of Britons and 28% of Israelis think that has happened. As a result, Mr Bush is ranked with some of his bitterest enemies as a cause of global anxiety. He is outranked by Osama bin Laden in all four countries, but runs the al-Qaida leader close in the eyes of UK voters: 87% think the al-Qaida leader is a great or moderate danger to peace, compared with 75% who think this of Mr Bush.

»The US leader and close ally of Tony Blair is seen in Britain as a more dangerous man than the president of Iran (62% think he is a danger), the North Korean leader (69%) and the leader of Hizbullah, Hassan Nasrallah (65%).

»Only 10% of British voters think that Mr Bush poses no danger at all. Israeli voters remain much more trusting of him, with 23% thinking he represents a serious danger and 61% thinking he does not.»

Mis en ligne le 3 novembre 2006 à 17H14