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595C’est certainement un des signes les plus convaincants et les plus notables de la profondeur du choc économique qui touche les USA : le déclin de la démographie. Le taux de naissance a brusquement chuté en 2008 et, depuis, les chiffres suivent cette même tendance. Le même phénomène avait notamment été observé durant la Grande Dépression, lorsque le taux de naissance était tombé à moins de 20 pour 1.000 en 1932 et n’avait plus dépassé ce niveau avant le début des années 1940.
C’est le Washington Times du 27 août 2010 qui rapporte les nouvelles indications sur les tendances démographiques.
«Forget the Dow and the GDP. Here's the latest economic indicator: The U.S. birth rate has fallen to its lowest level in at least a century as many people apparently decided they couldn't afford more mouths to feed.
»The birth rate dropped for the second year in a row since the recession began in 2007. Births fell 2.6 percent last year even as the population grew, numbers released Friday by the National Center for Health Statistics show.
»“It's a good-sized decline for one year. Every month is showing a decline from the year before,” said Stephanie Ventura, the demographer who oversaw the report.
»The birth rate, which takes into account changes in the population, fell to 13.5 births for every 1,000 people last year. That's down from 14.3 in 2007 and way down from 30 in 1909, when it was common for people to have big families.
»The situation is a striking turnabout from 2007, when more babies were born in the United States than any other year in the nation's history. The recession began that fall, dragging down stocks, jobs and births.
»When the economy is bad and people are uncomfortable about their financial future, they tend to postpone having children. We saw that in the Great Depression the 1930s and we're seeing that in the Great Recession today,” said Andrew Cherlin, a sociology professor at Johns Hopkins University.»
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