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397Quoique avec moins d’enthousiasme et d’excitation ces derniers temps, il faut le dire, les spéculations sur l’attaque de l’Iran par les USA continuent. Sans doute doit-on parler d’une tradition désormais bien établie ?
Mais, pour l’heure, le ton est plutôt à la démobilisation. C’est ce que nous dit un expert prestigieux de plus, Andrew Terrill, du Strategic Studies Institute au US Army War College. Terrill est catégorique : mais non, il n’y aura pas d’attaque, les USA ne préparent rien du tout, — d’abord pour l’excellente raison qu’ils ne peuvent plus rien préparer. Ils n’ont plus les moyens. L’argument, bien évidemment, sonne juste.
Cela se passait au Koweït, selon The Kuwait Times du 14 avril.
«According to Dr W. Andrew Terrill, a Middle East expert at the US Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, the US is not planning a military strike against Iran in the foreseeable future. Dr Terrill, who is widely published in academic journals and was previously a non-proliferation analyst for the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, lectured on US policies in the Gulf on Wednesday night at Kuwait's Aware Centre, with the topics of Iran and Iraq taking centre stage. Dr Terrill dismissed the notion that the US may attack Iran saying the state was currently “stretched thin in wars on two fronts — Iraq and Afghanistan.”
»He noted that the reservist fought war in Iraq was wearing thin on US public opinion and expressed his own feelings of distress when seeing young military men in his home town return from Iraq with only one arm.
»Of the 2006 Seymour Hersh New Yorker article which suggested Bush has a clear plan in the works to attack Iran, Terrill, while paying his respects to Hersh as a journalist, said he believed Hersh's anti-war stance may have slanted Hersh's view of the facts.
»Terrill made the case against a US attack by suggesting it may be useful as a threat but the reality of US President Bush beginning a war on a third front is highly unlikely when the situation in Iraq is dire. He said, “The current planned surge (of additional troops being sent to Iraq) is controversial in the arena of US public opinion... President Bush's presidency will be judged on (the outcome) Iraq.”»
Mis en ligne le 15 avril 2007 à 07H38
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